Publications
Publications
Articles
Articles
2026
Computational Social Science: Past, Present, and Future Book Section
In: Yasseri, Taha (Ed.): Handbook of Computational Social Science, Oxford University Press, 2026.
Integrative experiments identify how punishment affects welfare in public goods games Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 392, no. 6794, 2026.
The Task Space: An Integrative Framework for Team Research Journal Article
In: Management Science, 2026.
A large-scale evaluation of commonsense knowledge in humans and large language models Journal Article
In: PNAS nexus, vol. 5, no. 3, 2026.
2025
Rethinking news framing with large language models Journal Article
In: Scientific Reports, 2025.
Hypothetical nudges provide directional but noisy estimates of real behavior change Journal Article
In: Communications Psychology, vol. 3, no. 1, 2025.
Unpacking media bias in the growing divide between cable and network news Journal Article
In: Scientific Reports, vol. 15, no. 1, 2025.
Media Bias Detector: Designing and Implementing a Tool for Real-Time Selection and Framing Bias Analysis in News Coverage Journal Article
In: In Proceedings of the, vol. 2025, 2025.
A research agenda for encouraging prosocial behavior on social media Journal Article
In: Nature Human Behaviour, no. 9, 2025.
2024
Five Feet at a Time Book Section
In: Stark, David (Ed.): Practicing Sociology: Tacit Knowledge for the Social Scientific Craft, pp. 254-266, Columbia University Press, 2024.
The exciting potential and daunting challenge of using GPS human-mobility data for epidemic modeling Journal Article
In: Nature Computational Science, 2024.
Misunderstanding the harms of online misinformation Journal Article
In: Nature, vol. 630, no. 8015, 2024.
Quantifying the impact of misinformation and vaccine-skeptical content on Facebook Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 384, no. 6699, 2024.
Experiment aversion does generalize, but it can also be mitigated Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 121, no. 20, 2024.
The effects of group composition and dynamics on collective performance Journal Article
In: Topics in cognitive science, vol. 16, no. 2, 2024.
A framework for quantifying individual and collective common sense Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 121, no. 4, 2024.
Causally estimating the effect of YouTube's recommender system using counterfactual bots Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 121, no. 8, 2024.
Beyond playing 20 questions with nature: Integrative experiment design in the social and behavioral sciences Journal Article
In: Behavioral and Brain Sciences, vol. 47, 2024.
2023
The Effects of Group Composition and Dynamics on Collective Performance Journal Article
In: Topics in Cognitive Science, 2023.
Deplatforming did not decrease Parler users' activity on fringe social media Journal Article
In: PNAS Nexus, vol. 2, no. 3, 2023.
2022
Quantifying partisan news diets in Web and TV audiences Journal Article
In: Science Advances, vol. 8, no. 28, 2022.
2021
Reducing Opinion Polarization: Effects of Exposure to Similar People with Differing Political Views Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol. 118, no. 52, 2021.
Success Stories Cause False Beliefs about Success Journal Article
In: Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 16, no. 6, 2021.
Task Complexity Moderates Group Synergy Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol. 118, no. 36, 2021.
Integrating Explanation and Prediction in Computational Social Science Journal Article
In: Nature, vol. 595, no. 7866, pp. 181–88, 2021.
Examining the Consumption of Radical Content on YouTube Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol. 118, no. 32, 2021.
Research Note: Examining Potential Bias in Large-Scale Censored Data Journal Article
In: Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review, 2021.
A Large-Scale Comparative Study of Informal Social Networks in Firms Journal Article
In: Management Science, vol. 67, no. 9, pp. 5489-5509, 2021.
Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively Collected Behavioral Data Journal Article
In: Public Opinion Quarterly, vol. 85, pp. 347-370, 2021.
Measuring the news and its impact on democracy Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118, no. 15, 2021.
Empirica: a virtual lab for high-throughput macro-level experiments Journal Article
In: Behavior Research Methods, 2021.
2020
Computational social science: Obstacles and opportunities Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 369, no. 6507, pp. 1060-1062, 2020.
Objecting to experiments even while approving of the policies or treatments they compare Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117, no. 32, pp. 18948-18950, 2020.
Evaluating the Fake News Problem at the Scale of the Information Ecosystem Journal Article
In: Science Advances, vol. 6, no. 14, pp. eaay3539, 2020.
Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020.
2019
Predicting History Journal Article
In: Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 10, pp. 41562-019, 2019.
Objecting to experimentally comparing two unobjectionable policies of treatments Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2019.
2018
The Common Sense Presidency Book Section
In: Sunstein, Cass R. (Ed.): Can it Happen Here? Authoritarianism in America, Harper Collins, 2018.
Split-door criterion: Identification of causal effects through auxiliary outcomes Journal Article
In: Annals of Applied Statistics, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 2699-2733, 2018.
The science of fake news: Addressing fake news requires a multidisciplinary effort Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 359, no. 6380, pp. 1094-1096, 2018.
Redefine statistical significance Journal Article
In: Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 2, pp. 6–10, 2018.
2017
Fostering reproducibility in industry-academia research Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 357, no. 6353, pp. 759-761, 2017.
Prediction and explanation in social systems Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 355, no. 6324, pp. 486-488, 2017.
Resilient cooperators stabilize cooperation in a long-run Prisoner's Dilemma Experiment Journal Article
In: Nature Communications, vol. 8, no. 12800, 2017.
Should social science be more solution oriented? Journal Article
In: Nature Human Behaviour, vol. 1, no. 0015, 2017.
Response to Turco and Zuckerman: Comment on 'Common Sense and Sociological Explanations' Journal Article
In: American Journal of Sociology, vol. 122, no. 4, pp. 1292-1299, 2017.
2016
Small-world Graphs Book Section
In: Galeotti, A.; Bramoulle, Y.; Rogers, B. (Ed.): Oxford Handbook on the Economics of Networks, pp. 9-29, Oxford University Press, 2016.
An Experimental Study of Team Size and Performance on a Complex Task Journal Article
In: PLoS One, 2016.
Exploring limits to prediction in complex social systems: Predicting cascade size on Twitter Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 25th International World Wide Web Conference, 2016.
2015
The structural virality of online diffusion Journal Article
In: Management Science, vol. 62, no. 1, pp. 180-196, 2015.
Dissecting the Spirit of Gezi: Influence vs Journal Article
In: Selection in the Occupy Gezi Movement. Sociological Science, vol. 2, pp. 370-397, 2015.
Estimating the causal impact of recommendation systems Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 16th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2015.
2014
Common Sense and Sociological Explanations Journal Article
In: American Journal of Sociology, vol. 120, no. 2, pp. 313-351, 2014.
Inside Money, Procyclical Leverage, and Banking Catastrophes Journal Article
In: PLoS One, 2014.
Long run learning in games of cooperation Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 15th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2014.
Political Ideology and Racial Preferences in Online Dating Journal Article
In: Sociological Science, 2014.
2013
Empirical Agent Based Models of Cooperation in Public Goods Games Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 14th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce, 2013.
2012
Cooperation and assortativity with dynamic partner updating Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 109, no. 36, pp. 14363-14368, 2012.
The structure of online diffusion Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 13th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce, 2012.
Collaborative learning in networks Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 109, no. 3, 2012.
2011
Everything is Obvious*: Once You Know the Answer Book
Crown Business, 2011.
Who says what to whom on Twitter Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on World Wide Web, 2011.
Cooperation and Contagion in Networked Public Goods Experiments Journal Article
In: PLoS One, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. e16836, 2011.
Everyone's an influencer: Quantifying Influence on Twitter Proceedings Article
In: 4th International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, Hong Kong, 2011.
2010
Real and perceived attitude agreement in social networks Journal Article
In: Journal of Social and Personality Psychology, vol. 99, no. 4, pp. 611-621, 2010.
Inferring Relevant Networks from Social Communication Data Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on World Wide Web, 2010.
Prediction without markets Proceedings Article
In: 11th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC'10), 2010.
2009
The puzzling nature of success in cultural markets: Four micro-macro experiments Book Section
In: Hedstrom, Peter; Bearman, Peter S. (Ed.): Oxford Handbook of Analytical Sociology, pp. 315-341, Oxford University Press, 2009.
Threshold models of social influence processes Book Section
In: Hedstrom, Peter; Bearman, Peter S. (Ed.): Oxford Handbook of Analytical Sociology, pp. 475-497, Oxford University Press, 2009.
Small-World Networks Book Section
In: Durlauf, S.; Blume, L. (Ed.): New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd Edition, Palgrave Macmillan, 2009.
Modeling the dynamics of individual human communication Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 15th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, pp. 607-616, 2009.
Web-based experiments for the study of collective social dynamics in cultural markets Journal Article
In: Topics in Cognitive Science, vol. 1, pp. 439-468, 2009.
Social Search in 'Small-World' Experiments Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on World Wide Web, pp. 701-710, 2009.
The Origins of Homophily in an Evolving Social Network Journal Article
In: American Journal of Sociology, vol. 115, no. 2, pp. 405-450, 2009.
Financial Incentives and the Performance of Crowds Proceedings Article
In: Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Workshop on Human Computation, pp. 77-85, 2009.
2008
Social Influence, Binary Decisions and Collective Dynamics Journal Article
In: Rationality and Society, vol. 20, pp. 399-443, 2008.
Leading the Herd Astray: An Experimental Study of Self-fulfilling Prophecies in an Artificial Cultural Market Journal Article
In: Social Psychology Quarterly, vol. 71, pp. 338-355, 2008.
The structure of information pathways in a social communication network Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the 14th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, 2008.
2007
The Collective Dynamics of Belief Book Section
In: Nee, Victor; Swedberg, Richard (Ed.): On Capitalism, Stanford University Press, 2007.
Networks, influence, and public opinion formation Journal Article
In: Journal of Consumer Research, vol. 34, no. 4, pp. 441-458, 2007.
Cooperation in evolving social networks Journal Article
In: Management Science, vol. 53, no. 7, pp. 1036-1050, 2007.
2006
The Structure and Dynamics of Complex Networks Book
Princeton University Press, 2006.
Experimental study of inequality and unpredictability in an artificial cultural market Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 311, pp. 854-856, 2006.
Empirical Analysis of Evolving Social Networks Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 311, 2006.
2005
Multiscale, recurrent epidemics in a hierarchical compartment model Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 102, no. 32, pp. 11157-11162, 2005.
A generalized model of social and biological contagion Journal Article
In: Journal of Theoretical Biology, vol. 232, no. 4, pp. 587-604, 2005.
2004
Universal behavior in a generalized model of contagion Journal Article
In: Physical Review Letters, vol. 92, no. 21, 2004.
The 'new' science of networks Journal Article
In: Annual Review of Sociology, vol. 30, pp. 243-270, 2004.
2003
Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age Book
W. W. Norton, 2003.
Information exchange and robustness in organizational networks Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, vol. 100, no. 21, pp. 12516-12521, 2003.
An experimental study of search in global social networks Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 301, pp. 827-829, 2003.
2002
Identity and search in social networks Journal Article
In: Science, vol. 296, pp. 1302-1305, 2002.
A simple model of global cascades on random networks Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, vol. 99, pp. 5766-5771, 2002.
Random graph models of social networks Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, vol. 99, pp. 2566-2572, 2002.
2001
Random graphs with arbitrary degree distributions and their applications Journal Article
In: Physical Review E, vol. 64, 2001.
2000
Network robustness and fragility: Percolation on random graphs Journal Article
In: Physical Review Letters, vol. 85, pp. 5468-5471, 2000.
Mean-field solution of the small-world network model Journal Article
In: Physical Review Letters, vol. 84, pp. 3201-3204, 2000.
1999
Small Worlds: The Dynamics of Networks between Order and Randomness Book
Princeton University Press, 1999.
Renormalization group analysis of the small-world network model Journal Article
In: Physics Letters A, vol. 263, pp. 341-346, 1999.
Scaling and percolation in the small-world network model Journal Article
In: Physical Review E, vol. 60, pp. 7332-7342, 1999.
Networks, dynamics and the small world phenomenon Journal Article
In: American Journal of Sociology, vol. 105, no. 2, pp. 493-527, 1999.
1998
Collective dynamics of 'small-world' networks Journal Article
In: Nature, vol. 393, pp. 440-442, 1998.


